Fedwatch raised the odds of a rate hike 68.5% at its March meeting
US employment data exposed the Federal Reserve’s odds of moving earlier than expected. Unemployment in the United States fell to 3.9% and is reason enough for Fedwatch, the body that monitors the behavior of the Reserve, could raise interest rates in less than two months. Members considered that the conditions for the rate hike could […]
US and Canadian labor market, sixth month of positive data
The United States and Canada will report the evolution of non-farm payrolls and the variation in the unemployment rate respectively this Friday. The announcement will be at 10.30 am this Friday, Argentine time (GMT -3). November labor market data, released in December, was more disappointing than expected. 200K were added, compared to the expected 500K. […]
ECB and FOMC this week. Stimulus plans and bond purchases are key for the euro this week.
This Thursday, 12/16, important decisions are expected from governors of the European Central Bank who could delay part of a decision on the ECB’s stimulus plans, since the perspective has changed due to a new variant of the coronavirus and the growing pressures on the prices. The ECB’s Governing Council will meet on December 16 […]
United States Closes Its Year With Less Than 5% Unemployment
The United States closes its year with unemployment of 4.2% from 6.7% in January 2021. The final production of the services sector closes this 2021 with 69.1% increasing from 57.2%. Both data gave a weekly close with a strong dollar only at the USDCAD cross. The rest of the fx crosses were kept out of […]
Omicron the new variant threatens all of Europe. The WHO qualifies as worrisome and with a higher risk of reinfection.
The SARS-CoV-2 Virus Evolution Technical Advisory Group (VE-GAD) is an independent group of experts that periodically monitors and evaluates the evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and assesses whether mutations and combinations of mutations alter the virus behavior. The VE-TAG was convened on November 26, 2021 although the first known confirmed infection for B.1.1.529 (Omicron) was from a […]
Evergrande could be the next Lehman Brothers
The Chinese economy begins to be questioned. Its impact on global growth that it has helped fuel for more than 20 years is now hampered by electricity shortages and a major real estate crisis. The difficulties of the real estate sector in China triggered by the problems of the giant Evergrande could pose risks to […]
Volatility in the crude oil market
Crude prices this week were affected by market volatilities and due to the period of crisis that the sector is going through. In turn, OPEC cut its forecast for oil demand for 2021 due to high prices. Brent crude futures fell to $ 81.66. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures fell to $ 80.84 after […]
NFP and unemployment: High impact Friday.
The first week of November closes with two high-impact data in the employment sector. The United States and Canada will report the evolution of non-farm payrolls and the change in the unemployment rate respectively. The Fed announced this Wednesday that it will begin to cut its monthly purchases of bonds from November, with the […]
FOMC: Tapering will be defined
The week of great impact begins this Wednesday with the announcement that Fed officials will make after the FOMC meeting. This is the meeting agreed to evaluate the evolution of the economy and the direction of the decisions that will be made for the United States. The event is full of expectations, as they are […]
High impact of the week: inflation and interest rates
The opening of Monday 25/10 awaits us with expectations given the macro information of the week. We started with Australian inflation on Monday night. The week will also end with inflation data but from the United States. The numbers are expected to remain unchanged in Australia, however gas and coal prices have reached record highs […]