American Employment Week, Inflation and Canadian GDP
More than a year after the pandemic we will have the result of the American employment data on April 1. Unemployment is expected to fall to 3.7% thanks to the recovery of all sectors of the US economy and the rise in interest rates last March. The commitment of the Federal Reserve remains firm with […]
Market projections March 21 to 25
Russian President Vladimir Putin put his nuclear forces on high alert in late February and warned NATO not to interfere in Ukraine. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has repeatedly said the United States is ready to defend any Russian incursion into NATO territory. A clash between the world’s two biggest nuclear powers is the nightmare […]
Ukraine and Russia conflict and impact on monetary policy
Federal Reserve officials are wary of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, though several have said in recent days that geopolitical tensions are unlikely to stop them from withdrawing support for the US economy. The job market is booming and prices are rising fast. This week positive US employment data is expected with a drop of […]
Decisive week for the international currency market
The president of the Fed, Jerome Powell, affirmed last Wednesday the probability of a rise of half a percentage point (0.50%) if inflation continues stubbornly high. The move would raise borrowing costs from near zero, where they have been since the start of the Covid pandemic, for businesses and consumers. This would bring two main […]
Fedwatch raised the odds of a rate hike 68.5% at its March meeting
US employment data exposed the Federal Reserve’s odds of moving earlier than expected. Unemployment in the United States fell to 3.9% and is reason enough for Fedwatch, the body that monitors the behavior of the Reserve, could raise interest rates in less than two months. Members considered that the conditions for the rate hike could […]
Inflation will be the most relevant data for the month of January 2022. Crypto returns to the international table
China Evergrande Group is the world’s most indebted real estate developer, with more than $ 300 billion in liabilities. It announced that it made initial progress in resuming construction works and its president promised to deliver 39,000 units of properties in December, compared with fewer than 10,000 in each of the previous three months. It […]
Omicron leaves a fragmented world economy by 2022
The Omicron variant gains momentum in Europe and the United States, scientists are rewriting their expectations for the pandemic next year. The United Kingdom took an unexpected initiative against the forecasts by raising its interest rates to 0.25% on Thursday, December 16. It is the second country after New Zealand to increase bank interest rates […]
ECB and FOMC this week. Stimulus plans and bond purchases are key for the euro this week.
This Thursday, 12/16, important decisions are expected from governors of the European Central Bank who could delay part of a decision on the ECB’s stimulus plans, since the perspective has changed due to a new variant of the coronavirus and the growing pressures on the prices. The ECB’s Governing Council will meet on December 16 […]
United States Closes Its Year With Less Than 5% Unemployment
The United States closes its year with unemployment of 4.2% from 6.7% in January 2021. The final production of the services sector closes this 2021 with 69.1% increasing from 57.2%. Both data gave a weekly close with a strong dollar only at the USDCAD cross. The rest of the fx crosses were kept out of […]
Omicron the new variant threatens all of Europe. The WHO qualifies as worrisome and with a higher risk of reinfection.
The SARS-CoV-2 Virus Evolution Technical Advisory Group (VE-GAD) is an independent group of experts that periodically monitors and evaluates the evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and assesses whether mutations and combinations of mutations alter the virus behavior. The VE-TAG was convened on November 26, 2021 although the first known confirmed infection for B.1.1.529 (Omicron) was from a […]