Interest rate hike this week: United States and United Kingdom
The European Central Bank has removed language suggesting rates could be lower than they currently forecast. In addition, he abandoned the promise to end APP “a short time” before rates rise. It also announced a faster liquidation of its asset program. PEPP will still end in March. However, it will now only buy €40bn worth […]
Ukraine and Russia conflict and impact on monetary policy
Federal Reserve officials are wary of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, though several have said in recent days that geopolitical tensions are unlikely to stop them from withdrawing support for the US economy. The job market is booming and prices are rising fast. This week positive US employment data is expected with a drop of […]
The United States Prepares to Defend Ukraine
President Joe Biden spoke with President Vladimir Putin of Russia about Russia’s military buildup on Ukraine’s borders. President Biden was clear that if Russia launches a new invasion of Ukraine, the United States, together with our allies and partners, will respond decisively, imposing swift and severe costs on Russia. President Biden reiterated that a Russian […]
Decisive week for the international currency market
The president of the Fed, Jerome Powell, affirmed last Wednesday the probability of a rise of half a percentage point (0.50%) if inflation continues stubbornly high. The move would raise borrowing costs from near zero, where they have been since the start of the Covid pandemic, for businesses and consumers. This would bring two main […]
High impact week: Central Bank of Canada and FED
The loonie could stay lower this week ahead of the interest rate announcement this Wednesday at 12:00 pm EST. The Central Bank of Canada would keep its interest rates unchanged and the economy finds itself with an inflation of historical record of 30 years. The BBC’s lack of initiative could leave investors with no incentive […]
Fedwatch raised the odds of a rate hike 68.5% at its March meeting
US employment data exposed the Federal Reserve’s odds of moving earlier than expected. Unemployment in the United States fell to 3.9% and is reason enough for Fedwatch, the body that monitors the behavior of the Reserve, could raise interest rates in less than two months. Members considered that the conditions for the rate hike could […]
US and Canadian labor market, sixth month of positive data
The United States and Canada will report the evolution of non-farm payrolls and the variation in the unemployment rate respectively this Friday. The announcement will be at 10.30 am this Friday, Argentine time (GMT -3). November labor market data, released in December, was more disappointing than expected. 200K were added, compared to the expected 500K. […]
United States Closes Its Year With Less Than 5% Unemployment
The United States closes its year with unemployment of 4.2% from 6.7% in January 2021. The final production of the services sector closes this 2021 with 69.1% increasing from 57.2%. Both data gave a weekly close with a strong dollar only at the USDCAD cross. The rest of the fx crosses were kept out of […]
The US CPI fell
On Wednesday the Bureau of Employment Statistics of the United States will publish, as every month, the Consumer Price Index of the country. The September data will be known at 9.30 am Argentina (GMT-3). Estimates project that the CPI for the last month remains around 3%, showing a slowdown since June. The global context […]
US monetary policy under review
The great expectations of the week are located on Wednesday and the announcement that the FED officials will make, after the FOMC meeting. This is the monthly meeting that they will hold to evaluate the evolution of the economy and the direction of the decisions they will make for the United States. The event […]