FED and Canadian employment data this week
Last Friday’s job payrolls beat forecasts for a drop in US unemployment. With a result of 3.6%, American employment remains active, but not the creation of new jobs, which still does not exceed 500,000 new jobs. The effectiveness of the Fed’s communication appears to be working. This means that after a 25bp hike to start […]
Interest rate hike this week: United States and United Kingdom
The European Central Bank has removed language suggesting rates could be lower than they currently forecast. In addition, he abandoned the promise to end APP “a short time” before rates rise. It also announced a faster liquidation of its asset program. PEPP will still end in March. However, it will now only buy €40bn worth […]
Ukraine and Russia conflict and impact on monetary policy
Federal Reserve officials are wary of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, though several have said in recent days that geopolitical tensions are unlikely to stop them from withdrawing support for the US economy. The job market is booming and prices are rising fast. This week positive US employment data is expected with a drop of […]
The United States Prepares to Defend Ukraine
President Joe Biden spoke with President Vladimir Putin of Russia about Russia’s military buildup on Ukraine’s borders. President Biden was clear that if Russia launches a new invasion of Ukraine, the United States, together with our allies and partners, will respond decisively, imposing swift and severe costs on Russia. President Biden reiterated that a Russian […]
Decisive week for the international currency market
The president of the Fed, Jerome Powell, affirmed last Wednesday the probability of a rise of half a percentage point (0.50%) if inflation continues stubbornly high. The move would raise borrowing costs from near zero, where they have been since the start of the Covid pandemic, for businesses and consumers. This would bring two main […]
High impact week: Central Bank of Canada and FED
The loonie could stay lower this week ahead of the interest rate announcement this Wednesday at 12:00 pm EST. The Central Bank of Canada would keep its interest rates unchanged and the economy finds itself with an inflation of historical record of 30 years. The BBC’s lack of initiative could leave investors with no incentive […]
Fedwatch raised the odds of a rate hike 68.5% at its March meeting
US employment data exposed the Federal Reserve’s odds of moving earlier than expected. Unemployment in the United States fell to 3.9% and is reason enough for Fedwatch, the body that monitors the behavior of the Reserve, could raise interest rates in less than two months. Members considered that the conditions for the rate hike could […]
Evergrande could be the next Lehman Brothers
The Chinese economy begins to be questioned. Its impact on global growth that it has helped fuel for more than 20 years is now hampered by electricity shortages and a major real estate crisis. The difficulties of the real estate sector in China triggered by the problems of the giant Evergrande could pose risks to […]
NFP and unemployment: High impact Friday.
The first week of November closes with two high-impact data in the employment sector. The United States and Canada will report the evolution of non-farm payrolls and the change in the unemployment rate respectively. The Fed announced this Wednesday that it will begin to cut its monthly purchases of bonds from November, with the […]
FOMC: Tapering will be defined
The week of great impact begins this Wednesday with the announcement that Fed officials will make after the FOMC meeting. This is the meeting agreed to evaluate the evolution of the economy and the direction of the decisions that will be made for the United States. The event is full of expectations, as they are […]