FED and Canadian employment data this week
Last Friday’s job payrolls beat forecasts for a drop in US unemployment. With a result of 3.6%, American employment remains active, but not the creation of new jobs, which still does not exceed 500,000 new jobs. The effectiveness of the Fed’s communication appears to be working. This means that after a 25bp hike to start […]
American Employment Week, Inflation and Canadian GDP
More than a year after the pandemic we will have the result of the American employment data on April 1. Unemployment is expected to fall to 3.7% thanks to the recovery of all sectors of the US economy and the rise in interest rates last March. The commitment of the Federal Reserve remains firm with […]
Decisive week for the international currency market
The president of the Fed, Jerome Powell, affirmed last Wednesday the probability of a rise of half a percentage point (0.50%) if inflation continues stubbornly high. The move would raise borrowing costs from near zero, where they have been since the start of the Covid pandemic, for businesses and consumers. This would bring two main […]
High impact week: Central Bank of Canada and FED
The loonie could stay lower this week ahead of the interest rate announcement this Wednesday at 12:00 pm EST. The Central Bank of Canada would keep its interest rates unchanged and the economy finds itself with an inflation of historical record of 30 years. The BBC’s lack of initiative could leave investors with no incentive […]
Fedwatch raised the odds of a rate hike 68.5% at its March meeting
US employment data exposed the Federal Reserve’s odds of moving earlier than expected. Unemployment in the United States fell to 3.9% and is reason enough for Fedwatch, the body that monitors the behavior of the Reserve, could raise interest rates in less than two months. Members considered that the conditions for the rate hike could […]
Inflation will be the most relevant data for the month of January 2022. Crypto returns to the international table
China Evergrande Group is the world’s most indebted real estate developer, with more than $ 300 billion in liabilities. It announced that it made initial progress in resuming construction works and its president promised to deliver 39,000 units of properties in December, compared with fewer than 10,000 in each of the previous three months. It […]
ECB and FOMC this week. Stimulus plans and bond purchases are key for the euro this week.
This Thursday, 12/16, important decisions are expected from governors of the European Central Bank who could delay part of a decision on the ECB’s stimulus plans, since the perspective has changed due to a new variant of the coronavirus and the growing pressures on the prices. The ECB’s Governing Council will meet on December 16 […]
Omicron the new variant threatens all of Europe. The WHO qualifies as worrisome and with a higher risk of reinfection.
The SARS-CoV-2 Virus Evolution Technical Advisory Group (VE-GAD) is an independent group of experts that periodically monitors and evaluates the evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and assesses whether mutations and combinations of mutations alter the virus behavior. The VE-TAG was convened on November 26, 2021 although the first known confirmed infection for B.1.1.529 (Omicron) was from a […]
Fourth wave of infections in Europe. Mandatory vaccination.
German politicians are debating mandatory COVID-19 vaccines for citizens in light of rising infections and low inoculation rates. Members of Angela Merkel’s conservative bloc said Sunday that federal governments and should introduce mandatory vaccines soon, as well as other efforts to boost Germany’s low inoculation rate of just 68% have failed. “We have reached a […]
Evergrande could be the next Lehman Brothers
The Chinese economy begins to be questioned. Its impact on global growth that it has helped fuel for more than 20 years is now hampered by electricity shortages and a major real estate crisis. The difficulties of the real estate sector in China triggered by the problems of the giant Evergrande could pose risks to […]